After hitting above $3,800, the Ethereum value appears nicely on track for the next phase of the cycle. The continued pattern has been intently mirroring what was seen again in 2016-2017 earlier than the surge that despatched the altcoin’s value to new all-time highs. This stays a significant deal on condition that if the pattern does play out equally to what was seen within the 2017 cycle, then it signifies that the Ethereum value rally is simply simply starting.
Ethereum Value Mirrors Bullish 2017
Again in 2017, earlier than the bull market, the Ethereum value had struggled to remain on monitor with the Bitcoin value. This resulted in a lag because the price kept taking a beating with each uptrend. Ultimately, the Ethereum value ended up ranging for some time, with two fakeouts earlier than the worth was in a position to ultimately breakout.
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Equally, the Ethereum value has ranged for the final yr, with a number of fakeouts which have already saved the worth low. Identical to 2017, once more, a crash despatched the altcoin’s value down by virtually 50% to create what appeared to be the right bear lure, as illustrated on this chart by crypto analyst Merlijn The Dealer on X (previously Twitter).
The analyst factors out these similarities within the Ethereum chart, exhibiting that the identical vary, fakeout, and breakout have now performed out for the cryptocurrency similar to they did in 2016-2017. Given this, it’s possible that the following part within the pattern can even observe the 2017 playbook.
After the bear lure and eventual breakout in 2017, the Ethereum value had rallied by 5,000%, going from below $8 to over $250 in lower than one yr. Making use of a similar breakout structure to Ethereum in 2025 would imply rising as excessive as $40,000.
Nevertheless, adjusting for the way excessive the market cap presently is, a conservative goal would imply that the Ethereum value is a minimum of in a position to cross the $10,000 stage, which might be solely a 200% improve from its present stage. Making use of the identical timeframe as in 2017 would imply that it might play out within the subsequent six months.
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Moreover, Ethereum now has one thing that it didn’t have again in 2017, and that’s institutional backing. Presently, Ethereum is rapidly turning into a favourite amongst institutional buyers as ETH treasury companies have poured over $7 billion into the altcoin, in line with data from The Block. In July 2025 alone, over $2 billion has flowed into Spot Ethereum ETFs, exhibiting a ramp-up in institutionalized curiosity.
Attributable to this rise in institutional investments, Merlijn The Dealer has defined that establishments are actually those behind the wheel with the identical setup from 2017. This means increased liquidity as these main gamers are anticipated to drive and decide the ETH value this cycle.
Featured picture from Pixabay, chart from TradingView.com