In response to posts and quick clips revealed on October 17, 2025, social media character Andrew Tate warned that Bitcoin might fall to $26,000 earlier than a backside types.
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His clip argues that so long as many merchants count on fast rebounds and maintain lengthy bets, the market can maintain sliding till optimism is gone.
However, it was the “automotive crash” and “shedding your whole household” and having an arm amputated in an accident half that sounded disturbing. It was all a metaphor concerning the actuality of investing in Bitcoin and that all the things might worsen. At the very least, in the way in which he sees it.
On Psychology & Danger
Tate’s message was principally darkish and foreboding. He spoke about ache, struggling and the way an excessive amount of expectation can wreck folks’s desires. His message enters on market psychology: too many individuals nonetheless considering value gained’t go decrease, which is the worst half — and that retains threat alive.
He framed the transfer as a capitulation or “amputation” — a second when merchants lastly hand over and positions are cleared. A number of crypto retailers picked up the clip and reposted quick movies of his feedback throughout X and Instagram.
Market knowledge offers context to why his warning grabbed consideration. Bitcoin just lately pulled again from highs earlier in October and traded close to the $106,000–$107,000 space on October 17, with massive liquidations hitting futures and choices desks.
BITCOIN IS GOING TO $26,000 pic.twitter.com/Ng8ntmjWow
— Andrew Tate (@Cobratate) October 17, 2025
Studies present tons of of thousands and thousands cleared from leveraged positions within the latest sell-off. That type of pressured promoting can amplify strikes in both route.
Market Strikes And Information Factors
Different retailers identified outflows from spot Bitcoin ETFs on days when costs slid, proof that institutional flows can swing rapidly and have an effect on liquidity.
Some protection named single-day ETF outflows within the tons of of thousands and thousands, underscoring how fragile demand can look in a down leg. On the identical time, just a few market vets argued that these drops create shopping for probabilities for longer-term gamers.
Observers cut up on chance. Some analysts warn {that a} deep correction is feasible if broad liquidity dries up or if macro shocks hit threat belongings.
Others word that structural change — like bigger custody flows and ETF frameworks — creates extra patrons than in previous cycles, which might make a plunge to $26,000 unlikely and not using a main exterior shock.
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What Merchants Ought to Watch
In the meantime, key numbers to look at are assist close to four-figure and five-figure ranges that merchants have flagged this week, liquidations throughout futures, and ETF flows out and in of spot merchandise.
Momentum indicators versus gold and on-chain metrics have additionally been highlighted by some retailers as indicators of whether or not sellers are exhausted or simply getting began.
In brief, Tate’s $26,000 name is a daring, easy forecast constructed on a sentiment argument. It’s newsworthy as a result of it got here from a broadly adopted determine and since crypto is risky proper now. However it’s one state of affairs amongst many.
Featured picture from Gemini, chart from TradingView