Bitcoin (BTC) could also be on the sting of a big market transfer, as a crypto analyst warns that failure to reach an all-time high within the coming weeks may set off a pointy correction. Whereas long-term bullish sentiment stays sturdy, the quick outlook hinges on whether or not BTC can keep an upward momentum and keep away from a damaging setback that might derail or additional stall its present rally.
Bitcoin Faces 50% Crash Risk
A distinguished crypto analyst, Tony Severino, has issued a stark warning to Bitcoin traders on X social media. He cautions {that a} failure to interrupt a brand new all-time excessive quickly may spark a massive price crash—probably wiping out over 50% of BTC’s present worth.
In his shared Elliott Wave chart analysis, Severino highlights Bitcoin’s present place inside what seems to be an intermediate Wave 4 Expanded Flat correction. Based on the construction, Bitcoin could also be nearing the tip of wave B, which usually precedes a steep drop in wave C.
Severino’s evaluation attracts parallels between BTC’s present value conduct and the 2021-2022 expanded flat correction that outlined Major Wave 4. On the time, Bitcoin peaked in wave B earlier than cascading into wave C, leading to a brutal bear market.
An analogous sample seems to be creating in BTC’s present chart construction. The chart highlights that the current surge within the cryptocurrency’s value might be forming a misleading wave B peak, which can quickly reverse right into a wave C crash focusing on the $60,000 area or decrease. A decline to this degree would characterize a 50% drawdown from present ranges, close to $118,000.
Notably, Severino’s warning doesn’t stem from a bearish conviction however slightly from cautious optimism. Whereas he maintains a powerful bullish long-term outlook and believes Bitcoin nonetheless has a final Wave 5 rally ahead, the analyst emphasizes the necessity for BTC to interrupt out into a brand new ATH quickly to invalidate the expanded flat situation.
Ought to the market fail to ship this upside transfer, the corrective construction may dominate and considerably delay the subsequent upward impulse leg. A possible crash may additionally severely disrupt the long-anticipated altcoin season, stalling momentum throughout the broader crypto market.
Analyst Units Bitcoin’s Subsequent ATH Goal
Bitcoin has ignited contemporary optimism over the previous week following its newest price surge above $123,000. Regardless of pulling again to its present value above $118,000, a market professional recognized as ‘The Crypto Professor’ on X predicts that the flagship cryptocurrency is gearing up for a contemporary all-time excessive.
The Crypto Professor has set Bitcoin’s next ATH target at $129,948, coinciding with the 1.618 Fibonacci Extension degree. With BTC now buying and selling at $118,612, this may characterize a strong 9.6% value acquire. Notably, the analyst’s chart reveals earlier consolidation zones across the $110,000 and $100,000 area, matching the Fibonacci Retracement ranges of 1 and 0.786. These ranges now function potential help zones within the occasion of a retest.
Featured picture from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com
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