Renowned analyst Lark Davis is forecasting a bullish trajectory for Bitcoin by the summer time of 2025. This optimistic outlook is grounded in historic patterns noticed in BTC’s previous price cycles, through which BTC has skilled three main bull runs, every spanning roughly 4 years and culminating in a major value peak inside a 12 months of a Bitcoin halving event.
Analyst Information Exhibits Bullish Fourth Quarter for Bitcoin
In a current post on X, Lark Davis pointed to spectacular quarterly returns in earlier halving years—2016 and 2020. He emphasised that the fourth quarter following halving occasions has constantly been bullish. Moreover, within the years after the halving, resembling 2017 and 2021, Bitcoin noticed bullish value motion from the primary to the third quarter.
Davis additional added, “If historical past repeats itself, it may unleash mind-blowing positive aspects that most individuals can’t even fathom,” forecasting important development alternatives in 2025.
Including to this bullish sentiment is Rekt Capital, who not too long ago instructed his 501,200 followers on X (previously Twitter) that Bitcoin may see a powerful fourth quarter. Rekt Capital highlighted that Bitcoin has traditionally averaged a 22.9% return in October since its inception, with solely two situations the place it closed decrease than it opened in October.
In the meantime, Bitcoin has averaged a -5% return in September. The one two instances BTC noticed a decline in October had been in 2014 (-12.95%) and 2018 (-3.83%), each throughout bear markets. He additionally famous that BTC is currently in a halving year, including to the potential for constructive value motion.
Rekt Capital additional predicts that Bitcoin may attain its cycle peak within the second half of 2025, assuming it follows the traditional halving cycle. He defined, “Within the 2015-2017 cycle, BTC peaked 518 days publish halving. Within the 2019-2021 cycle, Bitcoin peaked 546 days publish halving.” If historical past repeats, and the following bull market peak happens 518-546 days publish halving, BTC may peak in mid-September to mid-October 2025.”
BTC’s Final Resistance Earlier than The Bull Run
Bitcoin’s price skilled a major uptick from September 8, reaching a excessive of $60,771 on September 14, in keeping with Geckoterminal. This surge marked a return above the $60,000 psychological stage for the primary time since August 30.
Nevertheless, following this rally, Bitcoin’s value underwent a corrective part, forming a rounding prime sample. This bearish formation means that sellers would possibly try to push the value decrease in the direction of the $55,137 help zone.
With the RSI now on a downward development, there’s a chance that consumers would possibly capitalize on the perceived undervaluation of the asset. A surge in demand at this stage may result in a bullish reversal, propelling Bitcoin in the direction of the $64,000 month-to-month excessive and probably igniting a broader bull run into 2025.
Featured picture created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com