Bitcoin Realized Profit/Loss Ratio Repeating 2024 Structure — What Happened Last Time?


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The value of Bitcoin has been fairly bubbly over this weekend, surpassing the $85,000 mark on Saturday, April 19. This optimistic single-day efficiency caps off what has been a comparatively steady previous seven days of worth motion for the premier cryptocurrency.

Nevertheless, the price of BTC continues to be far beneath the cycle highs, with the market chief presently greater than 21% away from its all-time excessive. With the Bitcoin worth caught in a broader consolidation vary, buyers seem like dropping persistence with the world’s largest cryptocurrency.

Are Bitcoin Traders Promoting Once more?

Of their newest publish on the X platform, on-chain analyst with the pseudonym Darkfost revealed that a number of BTC buyers have resumed offloading their property at a loss. The related indicator right here is the Bitcoin Each day Realized Revenue Loss Ratio, which estimates whether or not extra buyers are promoting at a revenue or a loss.

This revenue/loss ratio is calculated by dividing the whole realized earnings by the whole realized losses over a selected interval. When the metric is above 1, it implies that extra buyers are promoting in a revenue than at a loss. In the meantime, a less-than-one worth for the indicator means that extra buyers are reducing their losses.

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Supply: @Darkfost_Coc on X

As proven within the chart above, the Bitcoin Each day Realized Revenue Loss Ratio has been above 1 for a number of previous weeks. Nevertheless, the metric just lately fell — for the second time in 2025 — beneath the important thing threshold, signaling that almost all of buyers are realizing their losses.

In response to Darkfost, the present degree of the indicator is but to point full-scale market capitulation, however relatively a phase of uncertainty and doubtlessly accumulation. The on-chain analyst additionally talked about that the metric’s present structure is just like the construction seen in late 2024.

Darkfost, nonetheless, famous that this doesn’t essentially imply that the premier cryptocurrency will witness the identical end result from this example. When the Bitcoin Each day Realized Revenue Loss Ratio fell to this degree in 2024, the BTC worth launched into a worth rally above the $100,000 degree.

Darkfost added:

We will additionally observe that each time the ratio reached the +4 STDV deviation from the 365DMA, an area market prime persistently shaped, adopted by a short-term correction throughout bull section.

The on-chain analyst concluded that, given the excessive degree of uncertainty within the crypto market in latest weeks, the extra possible end result from this example is a capitulation section, the place realized losses will proceed to climb.

Bitcoin Worth At A Look

As of this writing, the price of BTC stands at round $85,300, reflecting a 0.8% enhance up to now 24 hours.

Bitcoin
The value of BTC on the each day timeframe | Supply: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

Featured picture from iStock, chart from TradingView

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