Bitwise CIO: US election is going to be a speed bump or wind gust for crypto


US Dollar and Bitcoin placed together to show investment concept
  • Bitcoin’s worth has risen over 400% between 2020 and 2024
  • Solana has elevated in worth by almost 4,500% from $1.49 to round $166 in 4 years
  • This trajectory of positivity will proceed past the 2024 US elections, in accordance with Matt Hougan

Bitwise’s CIO has mentioned whereas Washington can alter the trajectory of the crypto market by rushing issues up or slowing them down, it may possibly’t cease it.

In his newest client memo, Matt Hougan wrote about crypto in an election yr, claiming that crypto has already gained, no matter who turns into the following President of the US.

Evaluating the state of the crypto market from November 2020 to November 2024, Hougan questioned whether or not issues are higher or worse for the reason that final time People went to the polls.

Regardless of a number of lawsuits from the US Securities and Change Fee (SEC) – notably in opposition to Binance, Coinbase, Cumberland DRW, Kraken, and Ripple – the crypto business has made important progress.

A four-year distinction

Wanting between the 2 US elections, Hougan factors out that Bitcoin was buying and selling at $13,677 in November 2020. Quick-forward to November 2024 and Bitcoin is valued at round $69,492, indicating a 408% change.

Ethereum has additionally seen a constructive improve from its humble $388 in 2020 to its now $2,492 within the runup to the 2024 US election. Nonetheless, it’s Solana that has seen a serious improve in worth rising almost 11,000% from $1.49 in 2020 to round $166 in 2024.

Turning to property underneath administration (AUM), Hougan exhibits that stablecoin AUM rose from $3.87 billion in November 2020 to $177.83 billion in November 2024, representing a close to 4,500% change.

Decentralized finance (DeFi) whole worth locked (TVL) additionally skilled a wholesome enhance, leaping from $9.57 billion in 2020 to $139.3 billion in 2024.

“We focus a lot in crypto on the moment-by-moment motion of costs that we regularly lose sight of the long-term developments,” Hougan wrote. “The presidential election supplies a pleasant alternative to step again and see how far we’ve come.”

What subsequent?

A lot has already occurred within the crypto market over 4 years, however will that proceed because the market goes past the 2024 US election?

In Hougan’s view, the reply is sure. No matter who turns into the following POTUS, Hougan mentioned – amongst different issues – that spot crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) inflows will proceed, stablecoins will proceed to develop, Wall Road will proceed to embrace tokenization and real-world property, blockchains will get sooner and cheaper, and real-world functions reminiscent of Polymarket will achieve mainstream adoption.

“What occurs in Tuesday’s election issues, significantly within the quick time period,” mentioned Hougan. “However as I see it, over the long run Tuesday will show to be one thing between a pace bump and a wind gust. Neither goes to cease this practice.”



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