Has Ethereum Price Reached Its Cycle Top Yet? This Metric Says ETH Might Not Be Done


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The Ethereum worth has had some of the fascinating worth actions to this point in 2025, dropping to as little as $1,500 early on within the 12 months. The “king of altcoins” has since gone on to forge a brand new all-time excessive at $4,946, whereas outperforming most large-cap crypto property alongside the way in which.

Because of the market-wide downturn, the Ethereum worth has triggered ache amongst traders, falling by double digits to round $3,750 on Friday, October 10. Nevertheless, this newest spike in volatility has led to the query — does ETH nonetheless have some gasoline left within the tank, or is the altcoin finished on this cycle?

ETH Change Withdrawal Depend In Downtrend: Alphractal

In a current put up on X, market analytics agency Alphractal shared an fascinating on-chain perception into the present outlook for the Ethereum worth. In response to the blockchain platform, the value of ETH doesn’t seem to have reached its peak within the present cycle.

This worth analysis is predicated on the Change Withdrawal Depend metric, which measures the variety of crypto withdrawals constituted of an trade over a sure interval. This indicator affords perception into the quantity of a cryptocurrency (Ethereum, on this case) leaving a centralized trade.

Alphractal revealed that the spikes within the Change Withdrawal Depend have usually coincided with Ethereum worth tops. Because of this traders are inclined to withdraw their assets from exchanges as the value of ETH surges to new highs within the earlier bull runs. 

Ethereum price

Supply: @Alphractal on X

Nevertheless, Alphractal highlighted a deviation from this historic sample following Ethereum’s newest run to a brand new all-time excessive. In response to the on-chain agency, the Exchange Withdrawal Count has been on a gradual decline—fairly than an increase—because the Ethereum worth strikes in direction of a recent excessive.

Finally, Alphractal steered that this deviation from the same old pattern could possibly be a sign that the Ethereum worth has not but hit its peak on this cycle. However, the on-chain agency famous that the second-largest cryptocurrency is also about to witness a historic exception, particularly when you think about the current worth downturn.

Ethereum Worth At A Look

As of this writing, the value of ETH sits simply above $3,700, reflecting a 3% decline prior to now 24 hours. In response to information from CoinGecko, the altcoin’s worth is down by greater than 16% within the final seven days.

Ethereum price

The worth of ETH on the every day timeframe | Supply: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

Featured picture from iStock, chart from TradingView

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